Head to Head

Compare up to four players across projections, routes and rotation risk. The best value in each row is highlighted; pros and cons are generated relative to the selected set.

model 0.2.0-mc

refreshed 17 Jun, 19:58 UTC

3/4 selected

Metric	FWDLionel Messi Argentina @ Jordan	FWDAlexander Isak Sweden @ Japan	DEFNathaniel Brown Germany @ Ecuador
Final expected pts	12.43▲	8.99	8.47
Base pts	12.63▲	7.87	8.15
Expected scout bonus	+0.00	+1.32▲	+0.91
Ceiling (90th %ile)	24▲	16	19
Floor (10th %ile)	1▲	1	0
Ownership %	20.4%	3.6%	2.7%
Price	$10.0	$8.0	$4.7▲
Value / $m	1.24	1.12	1.86▲
Start prob (MD3-adj.)	83%▲	83%	73%
Expected minutes	71▲	71	63
Nailedness	86▲	86	84
Rotation risk	2%▲	2%	14%
Clean-sheet prob	42%▲	21%	32%
Anytime scorer	75%▲	47%	38%
Assist prob	21%	49%▲	41%
P(clears threshold)	80%▲	68%	62%
Wildcard value (multi-wk)	29.44▲	15.40	20.42
Knockout readiness	81/100▲	58/100	78/100
Reaches knockouts	96%▲	68%	92%
Main route	Goal threat	Goal threat	Goal threat

Lionel Messi

+Highest projected points

+Most nailed-on starter

+Highest ceiling

−Above the scouting threshold

Alexander Isak

+Most nailed-on starter

+High expected Scouting Bonus

Nathaniel Brown

+Lowest owned — best scouting upside

+High expected Scouting Bonus

−Least certain to start