Head to Head

Compare up to four players across projections, routes and rotation risk. The best value in each row is highlighted; pros and cons are generated relative to the selected set.

model 0.2.0-mc

refreshed 17 Jun, 19:57 UTC

3/4 selected

Metric	FWDKylian Mbappé France vs Iraq	FWDLionel Messi Argentina vs Austria	DEFNathaniel Brown Germany vs Côte d'Ivoire
Final expected pts	11.70▲	9.49	9.15
Base pts	11.90▲	9.69	8.82
Expected scout bonus	+0.00	+0.00	+0.94▲
Ceiling (90th %ile)	23▲	19	20
Floor (10th %ile)	1▲	1	0
Ownership %	50.9%	20.4%	2.7%
Price	$10.5	$10.0	$4.7▲
Value / $m	1.11	0.95	2.01▲
Start prob (MD3-adj.)	83%▲	83%	73%
Expected minutes	71	71▲	64
Nailedness	86▲	86	84
Rotation risk	2%▲	2%	14%
Clean-sheet prob	47%▲	32%	29%
Anytime scorer	72%▲	67%	43%
Assist prob	23%	16%	45%▲
P(clears threshold)	79%▲	72%	63%
Wildcard value (multi-wk)	29.61▲	22.53	22.08
Knockout readiness	84/100▲	81/100	78/100
Reaches knockouts	99%▲	96%	92%
Main route	Goal threat	Goal threat	Goal threat

Kylian Mbappé

+Highest projected points

+Most nailed-on starter

+Highest ceiling

−Above the scouting threshold

Lionel Messi

+Most nailed-on starter

Nathaniel Brown

+Lowest owned — best scouting upside

+High expected Scouting Bonus

−Least certain to start