Head to Head

Compare up to four players across projections, routes and rotation risk. The best value in each row is highlighted; pros and cons are generated relative to the selected set.

model 0.2.0-mc

refreshed 17 Jun, 16:57 UTC

3/4 selected

Metric	FWDAlexander Isak Sweden @ Japan	FWDLautaro Martínez Argentina @ Jordan	FWDLionel Messi Argentina @ Jordan
Final expected pts	9.85▲	8.81	8.72
Base pts	8.66	7.76	8.92▲
Expected scout bonus	+1.39▲	+1.26	+0.00
Ceiling (90th %ile)	17	16	18▲
Floor (10th %ile)	1▲	1	1
Ownership %	3.6%	3.6%	20.1%
Price	$8.0▲	$8.8	$10.0
Value / $m	1.23▲	1.00	0.87
Start prob (MD3-adj.)	83%▲	83%	83%
Expected minutes	71▲	71	71
Nailedness	86▲	86	86
Rotation risk	2%▲	2%	2%
Clean-sheet prob	21%	43%▲	42%
Anytime scorer	50%	52%	58%▲
Assist prob	52%▲	27%	31%
P(clears threshold)	72%▲	65%	70%
Wildcard value (multi-wk)	16.91	19.26	20.73▲
Knockout readiness	58/100	81/100▲	81/100
Reaches knockouts	68%	96%▲	96%
Main route	Goal threat	Goal threat	Goal threat

Alexander Isak

+Highest projected points

+Lowest owned — best scouting upside

+Most nailed-on starter

+High expected Scouting Bonus

−Least certain to start

Lautaro Martínez

+Lowest owned — best scouting upside

+Most nailed-on starter

+High expected Scouting Bonus

−Least certain to start

Lionel Messi

+Most nailed-on starter

+Highest ceiling

−Above the scouting threshold

−Least certain to start